{"id":6461,"date":"2020-04-30T12:10:34","date_gmt":"2020-04-30T19:10:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sanpedrotoday.com\/?p=6461"},"modified":"2020-05-04T17:48:26","modified_gmt":"2020-05-05T00:48:26","slug":"resilience-the-adaptive-cycle-of-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sanpedrotoday.com\/2020\/04\/30\/resilience-the-adaptive-cycle-of-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Resilience &#038; the Adaptive Cycle of Change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span style=\"color: #1daeec;\">Over the past weeks, we\u2019ve all wondered when we\u2019ll \u201cget back to normal,\u201d to life as it was before COVID-19. <\/span><\/strong>At the same time, some question whether we should settle for the \u201cold\u201d normal. Maybe we should aspire to come back better, smarter, stronger, and more resilient than before.<\/p>\n<p>We could use this time to plan for change and growth. But how would we learn to do that? When has a crisis been managed and turned into strength and stability?<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>For the best examples, we could look to the longest-running, most successful R&amp;D and innovation lab in the history of the world: Mother Nature, the earth herself. Since long before man, nature has constantly played and replayed cycles of growth, stability, crisis, reorder, and rebirth.<\/p>\n<p>Nature only knows how to grow, respond, and adapt to the circumstances around her. Whether it\u2019s meteors, ice sheets, earthquakes, volcanoes, wildfires, or humankind, nature meets challenges, evolves, and thrives. She will repeat these cycles long after we are gone.<\/p>\n<p>Science tells us so. From the 1950s to the 2000s, ecologist C. S. Holling blended the study of nature with systems theory, simulation modeling, and social sciences to develop several new scientific ideas, one of which was called the \u201cadaptive cycle.\u201d With apologies to the great scientist, the adaptive cycle can be over-simplified to describe how nature adapts to crisis and survives. The practical application of the model is that it illustrates how human institutions can respond to challenges and thrive, as well.<\/p>\n<p>The adaptive cycle is sometimes graphically described as the \u201cinfinity symbol.\u201d Imagine an element of the natural world traveling through that figure. As it sweeps up from left to right, nature is growing and thriving. It is stable, conserving itself, and all is well. As that natural element gets to the top of the right-hand curve, it is in some circumstance of significant change, whether from fire, drought, flooding, or the like. The theory tells us that while in crisis, nature can be rigid and unchanging, or it can begin to respond (termed \u201crelease\u201d). If rigid, it breaks and dies. If responsive, it is malleable, capable of change, and survives. By responding to the circumstance, it heads toward a moment of \u201cbreakthrough,\u201d developing innovations by which it reorganizes and restructures itself. Now it heads to the second, left-hand curve of the symbol. This curve represents the moment of adaption when nature changes itself or its behavior in a manner to allow it to interact with its changed circumstance and live. Once adapted, the element of nature is back to where we started and in a stage of growth, then stability. We know from the model that it is also readying itself for the next crisis and adaptation. Through this cycle, nature is resilient.<\/p>\n<p>One can see how the adaptive cycle has been applied to study and improve the resiliency of systems that we create: businesses, governments, churches, social structures. Each of these can have periods of growth and stability. Each invariably faces critical moments of challenge that require a response. We are at one of those inflection points now.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The COVID-19 pandemic is a tragedy. Our hearts go out to those who contract the virus, to their families, and to the millions who suffer financial harm in the lockdown. The terrible effects of the virus cannot be overstated. But, as in nature, this is a crisis that followed a period of stability. Now we are in a \u201ctime out\u201d and have a chance to respond. We can hang on to \u201cnormal\u201d as it was before. But that might be the \u201crigidity\u201d mistake of the adaptive cycle. Or we can break down old ways of thinking (the \u201crelease\u201d) and promote an environment for breakthroughs that lead to innovations and adaptations. The most pressing innovation will be a vaccine; but it could also be a reformed healthcare system, new housing policies, stable job markets, stronger social networks, or an equitable economy. Or all of that.<\/p>\n<p>As I write this, it\u2019s Earth Day, April 22. I\u2019m looking southeast out my home office window on a cloudless, warm, spring day. The clean, clear air allows a view down the main channel of the harbor, to the breakwater, past Angel\u2019s Gate, and on to a peaceful, blue Pacific. It is as if the ocean is saying \u201cWatch me, here\u2019s how I respond; see the challenges that lay ahead; adjust; embrace the chaos of change, find something that works, and go with that. Once you\u2019ve figured it out, use your resources well, but don\u2019t get complacent; you may need to do this again.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>I am sure she\u2019s right. <strong><span style=\"color: #1daeec;\">spt<\/span><\/strong><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past weeks, we\u2019ve all wondered when we\u2019ll \u201cget back to normal,\u201d to life as it was before COVID-19. At the same time, some question whether we should settle for the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":6463,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Resilience &amp; the Adaptive Cycle of Change - San Pedro Today<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sanpedrotoday.com\/2020\/04\/30\/resilience-the-adaptive-cycle-of-change\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Resilience &amp; the Adaptive Cycle of Change - San Pedro Today\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Over the past weeks, we\u2019ve all wondered when we\u2019ll \u201cget back to normal,\u201d to life as it was before COVID-19. 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